Carlito, no more bullshit?!

Following his recent abnormally premature defeats, would we be right to doubt Carlito's level, especially on fast indoor hard courts?

Match conditions : central court, fast indoor hard, 2:30 p.m.

H2H : 3-3, the last two for Carlito. Zverev said, after beating him in Acapulco I think, that we had to take advantage of this victory because Carlos was going to beat us all before long.

State of form : Carlos was injured recently, and suffered a lot of defeats with a really not great level: makes mistakes more quickly, his shot hurts less, he is more passive... On the Z side, this very end of the season is also difficult for him. Since Shanghai, he has either poor performances or "normal" matches. A little too passive too, we expected more from him because he was really starting to play at a high level.

Comfort in the tournament: 11V, 6D and 2 titles for Z who often plays his best tennis here. First participation for Carlito.

Strengths weaknesses : super complete game from Carlos with a huge forehand trigger and a crazy touch. Weakness on the physical aspect at the end of the season, and on doing a little too much. The Z's formidable weapon is its service of course, then its champion resilience. Main weakness: being a little too wait-and-see and out of line sometimes.

Match up : the Spaniard's power combined with his quality of touch makes him formidable against a German who needs time to organize himself. This will greatly depend on the quality of service from the German, and feedback from the Spaniard.

Possible scenario : two guys who observe each other a little, and who above all look for their bearings. A tight match, perhaps in 3 sets.

Personal opinion : difficult to give a solid opinion, especially on Carlito's level. We are slowly starting to get used to the end of a difficult season for him, where the Z often regains color in this tournament.

Bets to consider : Zverev HDP +3.5 @1.78 HA, Zverev set @1.70 HA, +2.5 sets @2.36 HA