Qualification in sight!
Less pressure on this match since they both won their first group match yesterday, we're going to have a great match I'm sure!
Match Conditions : central court, fast indoor hard, 9 p.m.
H2H : 18th face to face, just that! 10/7 for Medvedev is pretty close in general but in 2023 it's 4/1 for Daniil. 2/2 in the confrontations here in Turin, no advantage!
State of form : Since Shanghai we have lost the soldier Zverev but he often raises his level of play here and he confirmed it in the first round, it is solid in these conditions and he will finish strong. Medvedev also finished strong this season and given his first match yesterday he is a serious outsider for the final victory.
Comfort in the tournament : Two titles for Zverev and the feeling that he plays his best tennis every year here. Medvedev also already won this tournament, the conditions are excellent for both, again no real advantage.
Strengths weaknesses : Zverev is almost unbreakable in these fast indoor conditions with his quality of service, 77% first ball in the first round is exceptional. Sometimes a little too passive, he must be careful not to leave the game too much to his opponents. Medvedev is a metronome regardless of the striking force of his opponents, we saw it against Rublev he did not break and even seemed to be in a certain comfort zone while Rublev sent stumps.
Match up : Big advantage for the one who serves given their quality of first ball. In the baseline game Daniil is more patient but less capable of making the differences on a racquet shot, something that Zverev knows how to do with his long-line backhand for example. The German can afford to be a little more passive against Medvedev without taking too much risk of being punished. I think the two like to play each other!
Possible scenario : Fairly close match in my opinion if both serve correctly, once the exchange is started and neutral I perhaps give a slight advantage to Medvedev who, once in his comfort zone, is a wall. Possibly a match that will be played over one or two breaks maximum, a tie-break is probable.
Personal opinion : As in their 4 confrontations this year I see Medvedev winning but in an ultra tight match with Zverev who always plays well in this tournament.
Bets to consider : Medvedev victory, Over games, Zverev set
