A 'prime' Sonego?
It feels really weird to see Lorenzo win against a fellow Italian! And at the same time...
At the same time, if you think about it for roughly 3 seconds, his game is perfect for beating Musetti in these slow indoor conditions. We’ve said it and repeated it: when it’s slow it favors grinders like Norrie or Dzumhur, but it also benefits those who can generate power like Fonseca or Cerúndolo. Of course, here Daniil appears as Sonego’s antiparticle. He counterpunches and defends perfectly, with often authoritative service games. The Italian could be well positioned with his short-rally tennis, but Daniil is a good passer, he’s in great form right now, and he no longer leaves as much space to his opponents by stepping back up to the baseline more quickly and being much more aggressive in the rallies. So there’s less room for Sonego to rush the net. I know Daniil just played a “purple” match and that often the next one is less good, but it’s his last tournament, and he’s shown such consistency over the past two months that I’d have a hard time “laying” him. He could have one or two dips like in Almaty, but he was gassed at that point. So in my opinion, not much to get out of this from a betting perspective...


