The seriously injured.

It's simple, every Carabelli match has something going on; he played the whole end of last season while carrying an injury, and in his first match in 2026 he was already starting to show signs again..

Some minor shoulder pain during his defeat to Tien last week in Brisbane; it’s really systematic with him and he refuses to take time off to heal, he just wants to play. That’s his choice. I’m not really sure how serious his injury is unfortunately, so I have to be cautious. Without the injury he actually played pretty well against Tien and almost deserved his set, which isn’t surprising given that little Carabelli plays very well but doesn’t win much. He puts a good pace on hard courts, he’s not a passive clay-courter, and with the same mindset he can scrape wins here and there on faster surfaces. Against Tabilo for example? Maybe, the Chilean is not THE player you can trust as a favorite, quite the opposite. He has hot streaks and then he can lose to a lot of guys, and physically I often find him short as well, by the way. He’s got a good record in this tournament with a title in 2024 and conditions that are honestly good for his game, he’ll be someone to take seriously as the matches go on if he gets through this first round. I’m a bit torn because with his quality of serve and a game that’s better than Carabelli’s on hard, he could win this cleanly, but he could also get bogged down in this kind of match and completely blow up in mid‑air like last year against Basavareddy…