Ah!

Here we are, then. Quentin facing his destiny!

It’s already been 3 weeks now that we’ve had nothing but good things to say about Quentin, and with good reason: already 7 wins and two losses, against an excellent Nakashima in Brisbane and an excellent Machac in Adelaide. A crushing victory here against a Tabilo you always have to be wary of, and now Quentin is flying. When I see this matchup, I think like you of that 5-set loss by Quentin at Roland Garros against Rune. Because just like Rune, Quentin’s game can really annoy Medvedev by beating him in short patterns. And we’ve seen that Daniil can get tight when it comes to closing out a set or holding on to a break. On paper, with Quentin’s ML at 7.67, you think: why not. The ML is that high because Medvedev has a monstrous track record here (3 finals, after all), and he’s on a mission to get back to his best level. In 2026: 6 matches, 6 wins. And when Daniil is in form, the matchup against a big server / big forehand who doesn’t move like a cat usually suits him really well! But can we say we’ve got prime Daniil back? Almost, in my opinion. He still has his dips in level and gets pushed around here and there, but he holds up. I already liked his level a lot at the end of the 2025 season. Despite a few abnormal losses, the overall trend is still very positive. So I see a win for the Russian here, no surprise. The game now is to estimate how much resistance Quentin can put up...