What to do here?
A Korda who is logically a huge favorite doesn’t leave us with many options anymore...
Indeed, given the American’s odds, there won’t be much to do on his side and Korda is still Korda. Placing a bet on a straight-sets win (2–0) in his favor is not something I’m necessarily in favor of. We need to look for opportunities on the Argentinian side. On the Argentinian side, Comesaña isn’t playing very well. He didn’t play very well during the Golden Swing. We know his issues: he struggles to stay focused for an entire match, meaning playing high-level tennis with high intensity from start to finish. Because the Argentinian does have very solid weapons; what he’s missing is something in his head. But since he’s a player with good tennis, especially a very good serve and a fairly complete baseline game, he has pulled off a lot of upsets, so surprises in big tournaments. He now has a reputation as a giant killer. In Indian Wells conditions, with slower conditions and maybe a bit of wind, Korda has smaller margins for error. His game is much riskier, with less spin, straighter trajectories, and earlier ball striking. It’s the American who will be under pressure and who is coming off a good period. Either he manages to roll through, or he gets caught out by a Comesaña who has nothing to lose and just needs to progress by playing complete matches. The situation is therefore potentially dangerous. Looking at the American’s performances here at Indian Wells, I don’t see many wins. Now, he has played tough opponents like Tiafoe, Nadal, Medvedev, Monfils. I don’t hold that against him. However, I think the conditions are not the most favorable for him. That said, I find that he has improved a lot mentally and that he’s now able to play tennis with controlled aggression. I think he should still manage to get through. So if we try something on the Argentinian side, it really is a small-stake bet for me.


