Suspense?

With this 2026 Miami edition, anything could happen, but still...

And yes, almost 50% of the matches in Miami have ended with an underdog win (out of 80 matches played, still)! What if it were Jiri’s turn?

The Czech took a while to get back to a good level, and finally we’re seeing him again as we know him in Miami. His commitment and even his mental toughness have been exemplary, for once. However, he’s down 4–1 in head-to-heads against Fritz, and that’s pretty easy to understand. His game is based on power, and Taylor is quite a counterpuncher / metronome from his baseline. With the quality of serve on the Czech’s side as well, their 5 meetings have often been tight, and I’m telling you, the conditions in Miami can flip a match.

For a world no. 7 American who’s defending a semifinal, you could say his ML at 1.51 isn’t that low. But I don’t forget that Taylor Fritz has been carrying a few injuries here and there, and that he really had to grind in the wind at his favorite tournament in Indian Wells. He also loses fairly early in Delray. In short, not the blazing Fritz you want to back with your eyes closed. Maybe actually an opportunity the market isn’t picking up on? Eh, not for me guys. I like players on the comeback like Lehecka, who has absolutely nothing to lose here and who went out and grabbed his win in a hard-fought second set against Quinn.