Third time’s the charm?
Third official meeting between the two players, with two wins for the German: one on clay and one on grass, without dropping a set but with a tiebreak each time. I don’t remember their matches; they took place last season. The Italian has weapons he can use, but it’s not enough against the German’s style of play, especially his serve, which gives him free points, and in the rallies, the Italian’s resilience is a strength but he also has to break through the German’s defense, like the Argentine did at the end of the first set in the German’s previous match, but that requires a very powerful shot. I find that the Italian Cobolli’s strokes lack the power to make the difference and that his serve doesn’t provide enough security to hold his service games, which makes the match unbalanced. In the quarterfinal, the German felt pressure at the end of the first set and showed a certain passivity. Today, he’s at 1.20 odds and the Italian has nothing to lose, is happy to meet his friend Shelton again, brings joy on the court and plays solid tennis. He’s going to give his heart with a good level as usual. However, he lacks disruptive shots, but you can feel he’s going to give everything even if his weapons aren’t enough. With such an asymmetry in the odds, we might be able to find a compromise in terms of bets. Let’s take a look at that.


