Two players in complete disarray

Beatriz Haddad Maia is going through the worst season of her career since she broke into the top 20. Two wins in twelve matches, a 6-0, 6-4 loss in Oeiras against a player she would have beaten with her eyes closed eighteen months ago, and this persistent feeling that something broke in the Brazilian’s head long before it broke in her game. The new coaching setup with Carlos Martínez, started in early April on the eve of the clay season, looks as much like a lifeline as a bet on the future. What remains intact is the profile: a 1.85m left-hander with a devastating slice that flies even further out into the tramlines at 667 meters, a left hand that creates angles right-handers never see anywhere else, and a clay-court career win rate of 54% that shows this surface suits her when her head is in the right place.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro isn’t in great form either, 4–9 in 2026 and a loss in Bogota to Lepchenko that leaves a few questions. But the 52-week clay metrics clearly show her as structurally superior: a Dominance Ratio of 1.434, she creates more chances, she breaks serve more often, she imposes her game. Playing at home on the Manolo Santana court in front of a Spanish crowd that will lift her is a real advantage that the numbers don’t capture. The flip side: she sometimes loses matches she has dominated, her Dominance Efficiency drops to 0.802 compared to 0.997 for Haddad, and the 2–0 H2H is meaningless on clay since both meetings were played on hard.