VDZ at 1.33. Really?

Even against the world No. 300, I’d struggle to bet on the Dutchman at those odds. It’s true he played well against Alexandre Muller and that his break seems to have done him good after his disastrous match in Munich. But with him, you just never know. For that reason alone, I’d advise against betting on his win at such a short price. On the other side, the American is a golden lucky loser. He takes the place of the Frenchman Arthur Rinderknech and benefits from his withdrawal to find himself directly in the second round. The slightly high bounce of the ball can be a bit worrying for his one-handed backhand, but the Dutchman isn’t exactly the one who puts on the most topspin. I don’t think the American is that bad on clay. In any case, he tries. But since he’s not a natural defender, he’ll have to expose himself to risk and take the initiative if he wants to have any hope of destabilizing VDZ. And that’s exactly the kind of situation where the Dutchman is at his best. I don’t necessarily see the American winning, but for me, if you want to look for a bet here, you have to look at the game total overs.