The first big seed out?
Auger-Aliassime is a high seed on paper, but one of those we see as most in danger..
After the disappointment in Rome, I saw a good performance from FAA in his first round match in Hamburg against Kopriva. He took a commanding lead in the third set against Kovacevic before completely collapsing. Another setback for the Canadian, who seems to be falling back into his old habits. His clay-court season has been disappointing, no question about it. Four wins and four losses, and not a single standout performance (his win against Ruud was by retirement). As soon as he gets fewer free points on his serve and with his forehand, it seems he reverts to being a very average player that a lot of players can beat. This was quite evident against Navone, where he was blocked from the baseline and his body completely gave out at the end of the match. Before starting this infamous long-format tournament in 30-degree heat, he needs to ask himself the right questions. Historically, this isn't a good tournament for FAA; he never gets good results here. His best result is the round of 32, just like... Altmaier.
The German has as many Round of 32 appearances here as FAA, I find that stat quite funny. The German is a Grand Slam player, he always plays incredible matches, including a win over Sinner in 2023! His start to the year was disastrous, but with time and especially the return of clay courts, he managed to get his head back on track and is playing some good matches. He just beat Shelton in Hamburg and played a decent match against Paul, but it was too tough a matchup since the American kept rushing the net, something Felix doesn't do at all, or at least not as much.
2/2 in head-to-head matches, the matchup on Earth seems interesting for Altmaier; he'll try to drag the match out as long as possible, and given that Felix is losing a lot of matches lately, I wouldn't be surprised if he struggles to win.


