What’s the scam here?

I don’t know if there’s a single person who sees Brooksby as capable of doing anything in this match

At the same time, nothing is going his way, he’s awful on clay and draws a horrible first round for him against a pure clay-courter that he normally won’t be able to beat physically. Navone confirmed his good recent level with a great tournament in Geneva, the level was super high all week and that was already the case before this tournament, he’s found his tennis again! So it’s totally logical to see him win against a player who hates clay and doesn’t win a match, there’s a difference in level and confidence. The only point you could tone down is the physical side since Navone gave a lot in Geneva, but it still feels a bit light to base a bet on that, especially since he didn’t have any marathon matches either..

But I also know that Brooksby has a warrior’s mentality, that even when it’s tough he’s always there firing himself up. Last year he got through a round here and almost took a set off Korda afterwards. Having in front of you a guy who encourages himself from the first to the last point without ever giving up is not easy either, the slightest dip from Navone will get exploited, and when you think about it Brooksby has played a few tight sets recently against good clay-courters.

It’s kind of the type of match where you absolutely don’t believe in it buuuut there’s a world where..