Rather simple to analyze for me...

Nakashima's physical gauge has its limits, where LVA can hang in there, even more so with the X factor of the crowd on a small court. Too bad it’s a small court, though, given how good his return is.

My reading of the match is simple: Nakashima’s powerful tennis takes the upper hand over the “grinder” LVA, until the physical gauge flips. And then, it can swing his way, even if that means Nakashima will play even more aggressively!