Bejlek, a left-hander allergic to grass?

On paper, the match seems over before the players even set foot on the Devonshire Park grass. Siegemund arrives with a Dominance Ratio of 1.289, a Match Efficiency of 1.293, a 72.6% Service Games Won rate, and a decisive 6-4, 6-4 victory over this same Bejlek court in Rome three weeks ago. The 5th seed has a better grasp of all aspects of the game, and her 52-week grass-court record of 5-3 confirms that she is currently thriving on this surface.

Bejlek, for her part, arrives with a 2-8 record in her last ten matches and a career grass-court record of 0-2 on the main tour. The 20-year-old Czech is primarily a clay-court specialist, built on left-handed angles, the slice, and tactical intelligence rather than raw power. On fast grass, her natural arsenal loses some of its edge. The market is well aware of this, offering her at odds of 2.02.

What's worth noting, however, is that Bejlek saves 60.0% of her break points, better than Siegemund (55.6%), and her high Break Points to Defend (BPs to Defend) of 1.19 indicates that she will be under pressure but will escape it more often than expected. Against Pliskova in Nottingham last week, she held serve for a set against a player with a devastating grass-court serve. Siegemund isn't a crushing machine: her Break Points Converted (46.6%) remains moderate, and she won't dominate every rally.