Late analysis but…
Late analysis, but Marcos and I have already made a betting decision here. I'll explain why. The main reason is that all the signals are green on the Spaniard’s side. They’re green because he delivered a complete performance in his first-round match. He maintained a good level of intensity, managing to dominate his opponent throughout the match, even though his opponent wasn’t that bad. On top of that, he really enjoys playing in Estoril. He’s already won the tournament and his post-match speech was very positive. There’s also this motivation that I sense; the Spaniard produces great matches when he’s highly motivated. We have proof of that from the last two Grand Slams. I think he’ll be in good shape and very motivated. The match-up also seems to favor him against Lucas, because Lucas is mainly a defensive player, even more so on slow clay, who wears down his opponents but struggles to really stand out from the baseline. This type of player suits the Spaniard quite well, as he knows how to both defend and be solid, while also being effective in his attacking phases. Lucas, even if his serve and sometimes his forehand are underestimated, has a good backhand, but he’s less effective than the Spaniard when it comes to attacking. He has less ability to inflict damage. Even if we want to add something about the Frenchman, he seems to be lacking confidence at the moment. He’s very dependent on his coach, pumping his fist and trying to reassure himself. In Umag in Croatia, he lost a match he should never have lost against Titouan Droguet. That’s quite a lot of factors, and I think that, all things considered, betting on the Spaniard to win down to 1.40 is a good option.


