Can he play?

Analysis centered on doubts about the Italian, because he gave up very quickly in his previous match at the Los Cabos tournament due to arm pain. He’s had every possible scan to say that everything is fine, no problem, but he still has to manage that pain a bit so it doesn’t come back. It’s a mixed statement that we’ll take with a grain of salt. Putting that into perspective with a Canadian who played really well yesterday in a very convincing match and is riding that momentum again today, it’s not easy to bet on the Italian here, knowing that in his previous tournament in Los Cabos, and even, I’d go as far as to say in Bastad, we haven’t seen the Italian at his best. He’s still playing well, but his wins are often due to his resilience. At this point, his slightly labored profile is a bit worrying against a fired-up home player ready to give everything. All the more so because the Canadian Diallo has a game that doesn’t get dragged into endless rallies. He knows how to hit the drop shot and attack when needed, he knows how to come to the net, serve-and-volley, and shorten points, putting the Italian in a less comfortable situation than when he plays on slow clay. For all these reasons, I don’t think I’ll bet on the Italian, but I’m still wondering about the Canadian, because everything I’ve just said seems to be well priced in by the market. It’s really a question of whether Diallo’s odds still have a bit of value or not.