How many times have we done this analysis...

9–2 for Z here, but with a bunch of times where he still got really shaken up.

Nevertheless, lately he seems to have taken control of the match‑up. Not to mention the new dimension he’s reached after his win at Roland Garros. We’ve got a more aggressive player now, who misses less on the forehand and is confident. The absence of Alcaraz and Sinner should give him ideas… or maybe motivate him a bit less. He’s on his way to the US Open and the ‘warm‑up’ Masters 1000 are crucial for him, since he loves having lots of matches in his legs.

On Griekspoor’s side, we’re seeing some good form, and we’re going to get something different than just hammering the forehand and rushing the net. Especially since Z is much more aggressive than before, Tallon is going to be caught off guard and will also have to find solutions from the baseline. But honestly, at this point it all pretty much just depends on Z here…